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Estimating the effects of COVID-19 on essential health services utilization in Uganda and Bangladesh

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Frontiers in Public Health
Publication Type
Article

Background: Since March 2020, the coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) pandemic has been a major shock to health systems across the world. We examined national usage patterns for selected basic, essential health services, before and during the COVID-19 pandemic in Uganda and Bangladesh, to determine whether COVID-19 affected reporting of service utilization and the use of health services in each country.

Methods: We used routine health information system data since January 2017 to analyze reporting and service utilization patterns for a variety of health services. Using time series models to replicate pre-COVID-19 trajectories over time we estimated what levels would have been observed if COVID-19 had not occurred during the pandemic months, starting in March 2020. The difference between the observed and predicted levels is the COVID-19 effect on health services.

Results: The time trend models for Uganda and Bangladesh closely replicated the levels and trajectories of service utilization during the 38 months prior to the COVID-19 pandemic. Our results indicate that COVID-19 had severe effects across all services, particularly during the first months of the pandemic, but COVID-19 impacts on health services and subsequent recovery varied by service type. In general, recovery to expected levels was slow and incomplete across the most affected services.

Cash for assets during acute food insecurity: an observational study in South Sudan

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Agriculture & Food Security
Publication Type
Article

Background

Cash-based assistance in humanitarian contexts has grown substantially in recent years, yet little is empirically known about differential impacts of cash for diverse beneficiaries, which could better inform assistance targeting. In the context of increasing food insecurity and extreme levels of famine in South Sudan despite significant scale-up of humanitarian assistance, this analysis examined food security and household economy outcomes to better understand the impact of cash assistance and characteristics associated with worsened household food security and coping strategies.

Methods

In 2019–2021, a prospective cohort study was conducted leveraging a program providing cash for work in community gardens. 1213 households receiving cash prior to the start of the study (Cohort A/B), 582 non-intervention households (Control), and 300 households that received cash after the start of the study (Cohort C) completed 2 interviews spaced one year apart to measure household food insecurity and coping mechanism adoption.

Results

There were no significant differences in change over time in household hunger score (p = 0.074), livelihoods coping strategy index score (p = 0.104), or meal frequency (p = 0.113) between program participants and the comparison group. The comparison group had a significantly larger increase in dietary diversity over time (0.6 vs. 0.2 in Cohort A/B, p = 0.005); however, at endline there were no significant differences in dietary diversity between program participants and the non-intervention group (4.3 in both groups). There were few factors associated with increased likelihood of worsened food security and coping outcomes, the most noticeable being recent investment livestock, which was associated with 1.5 times greater odds of worsened hunger and 1.63 times greater odds of worsened coping strategy adoption.

Maternal, fetal, and perinatal outcomes among pregnant women admitted to an Ebola treatment center in the Democratic Republic of Congo, 2018–2020

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PLOS One
Publication Type
Article

Objective

This study aims to investigate maternal, fetal, and perinatal outcomes during the 2018–2020 Ebola outbreak in Democratic Republic of Congo (DRC).

Methods

Mortality between pregnant and non-pregnant women of reproductive age admitted to DRC’s Mangina Ebola treatment center (ETC) were compared using propensity score matching. Propensity scores were calculated using age, initial Ebola viral load, Ebola vaccination status, and investigational therapeutic. Additionally, fetal and perinatal outcomes of pregnancies were also described.

Results

Twenty-seven pregnant women were admitted to the Mangina ETC during December 2018—January 2020 among 162 women of childbearing age. We found no evidence of increase mortality among pregnant women compared to non-pregnant women (relative risk:1.0, 95%CI: 0.58–1.72). Among surviving mothers, pregnancy outcomes were poor with at least 58% (11/19) experiencing loss of pregnancy while 16% (3/19) were discharged with viable pregnancy. Two mothers with viable pregnancies were vaccinated, and all received investigational therapeutics. Two live births occurred, with one infant surviving after the infant and mother received an investigational post-exposure prophylaxis and Ebola therapeutic respectively.

Maternal mid-upper arm circumference: Still relevant to identify adverse birth outcomes in humanitarian contexts?

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Field Exchange
Publication Type
Article

Establishing a practical anthropometric measurement, with an appropriate cut-off threshold, to identify pregnant women as undernourished in humanitarian settings can assist in the implementation of necessary interventions to avoid unfavourable maternal and birth outcomes. A key gap in maternal nutrition is that there is currently no agreed-upon standard set in the Sphere Handbook that defines maternal acute undernutrition through an optimal, context-specific MUAC cut-off point (Sphere Association, 2018).

In 2013, Médecins Sans Frontières Switzerland undertook an extensive literature review (Ververs et al, 2013) of articles published between January 1995 and September 2012 exploring anthropometric indicators that are able to identify pregnant women as acutely undernourished and at risk for adverse outcomes – including maternal mortality, low birth weight (LBW), intra-uterine growth restriction (IUGR), pre-term birth (PTB), small-for-gestational-age (SGA), and stunting at birth.

The review concluded that maternal MUAC can be used as a reliable indicator of risk of LBW. Maternal MUAC was identified as the preferential indicator, as opposed to body mass index, maternal weight for gestational age, maternal weight gain, or maternal stature. Maternal MUAC has a strong association with birth weight, is a simple measurement to take, particularly in humanitarian contexts, and is independent from gestational age. The proposed conservative cut-off value to enrol pregnant women in nutritional programmes, most frequently supplementary feeding programmes, was a MUAC of <23 cm.

This scoping review aims to analyse studies published after September 2012, specifically focusing on determining the specific MUAC cut-off threshold used to identify adverse birth and maternal outcomes to understand if a MUAC of <23cm should be used rather than a MUAC of <21cm as is used in some humanitarian nutrition programmes.

Effectiveness of humanitarian health interventions: a systematic review of literature published between 2013 and 2021

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BMJ Open
Publication Type
Article

Objectives 

To provide a thorough mapping of the current quality and depth of evidence examining the effectiveness of health interventions in humanitarian settings in low and middle-income countries published in peer-reviewed journals since 2013.

Methods 

We searched MEDLINE, Embase and Global Health for English language peer-reviewed literature published from May 2013 through April 2021 to analyse the strength of evidence on health interventions’ effectiveness in humanitarian settings in low and middle-income countries across nine thematic areas. Quality was assessed using standardised criteria and critical appraisal tools based on study design.

Results 

A total of 269 publications were included in this review. The volume of publications increased since the first Elrha Humanitarian Health Evidence Review in 2013, but non-communicable diseases and water, sanitation and hygiene remain the areas with the most limited evidence base on intervention effectiveness in addition to injury and rehabilitation. Economic evaluations continued to constitute a small proportion (5%) of studies. Half of studies had unclear risk of bias, while 28% had low, 11% moderate and 11% high risk of bias. Despite increased diversity in studied interventions, variations across and within topics do not necessarily reflect the health issues of greatest concern or barriers to quality service delivery in humanitarian settings.

Authors

The crisis of maternal and child health in Afghanistan

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Conflict and Health
Publication Type
Article

Background

The Taliban takeover in August 2021 brought global economic sanctions, economic collapse, and draconian restrictions on women’s freedom of movement, work, political participation, and education. This study examined Afghan health workers’ experiences and perceptions of availability and quality of maternal and child health care since then.

Methods

We conducted a survey, using a convenience sample, of health workers from urban, semi-rural, and rural public and private clinics and hospitals across the 34 provinces, covering changes in working conditions, safety, health care access and quality, maternal and infant mortality as well as perceptions about the future of maternal and child health and health care. Interviews were conducted with a subsample of health workers to further explore their perceptions of changes in working conditions, quality of care, and health outcomes since the Taliban takeover.

HIV infection and engagement in the care continuum among migrants and refugees from Venezuela in Colombia: a cross-sectional, biobehavioural survey

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The Lancet HIV
Publication Type
Article

Background

Venezuela has experienced substantial human displacement since 2015. To inform HIV programmes and treatment distribution, we aimed to estimate HIV prevalence and associated indicators among migrants and refugees from Venezuela residing in Colombia, the largest receiving country.

Methods

We conducted a biobehavioural, cross-sectional survey using respondent-driven sampling among Venezuelan people aged 18 years or older who had arrived in Colombia since 2015 and resided in four cities (ie, Bogotá, Soacha, Soledad, and Barranquilla). Participants completed sociobehavioural questionnaires and rapid HIV and syphilis screening with laboratory-based confirmatory testing, CD4 cell counts, and viral load quantification. Policies related to migration status affect access to insurance and HIV services in Colombia, as in many receiving countries, so we provided legal assistance and navigation support to participants with HIV for sustained access to treatment. Population-based estimates were weighted for the complex sampling design. Penalised multivariable logistic regression analysis was used to identify correlates of viral suppression (HIV-1 RNA <1000 copies per mL).

Authors

Area-specific covid-19 effect on health services utilization in the Democratic Republic of the Congo using routine health information system data

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BMC Health Services Research
Publication Type
Article

Background

Since March 2020, the COVID-19 pandemic has shocked health systems worldwide. This analysis investigated the effects of the pandemic on basic health services utilization in the Democratic Republic of the Congo (DRC) and examined the variability of COVID effects in the capital city Kinshasa, in other urban areas, and in rural areas.

Methods

We estimated time trends models using national health information system data to replicate pre-COVID-19 (i.e., January 2017–February 2020) trajectories of health service utilization, and then used those models to estimate what the levels would have been in the absence of COVID-19 during the pandemic period, starting in March 2020 through March 2021. We classified the difference between the observed and predicted levels as the effect of COVID-19 on health services. We estimated 95% confidence intervals and p-values to examine if the effect of the pandemic, nationally and within specific geographies, was statistically significant.

Results

Our results indicate that COVID-19 negatively impacted health services and subsequent recovery varied by service type and by geographical area. COVID-19 had a lasting impact on overall service utilization as well as on malaria and pneumonia-related visits among young children in the DRC. We also found that the effects of COVID-19 were even more immediate and stronger in the capital city of Kinshasa compared with the national effect. Both nationally and in Kinshasa, most affected services had slow and incomplete recovery to expected levels. Therefore, our analysis indicates that COVID-19 continued to affect health services in the DRC throughout the first year of the pandemic.

Targeting health care in conflict: the need to end impunity

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The Lancet
Publication Type
Editorial

On the morning of May 26, a Russian missile destroyed Dnipropetrovsk City Hospital No 14 in Dnipro, Ukraine, killing at least two people and injuring more than 30. Later that same day, the BBC reported that attacks on medical facilities and staff in Sudan might constitute war crimes. As described in a World Report, such attacks continue in Sudan, including most recently the looting and occupation of centres run by Médecins Sans Frontières, denying Sudanese civilians much needed medical care. From the deliberate targeting of hospitals in Syria and the destruction of the health system in Yemen, to the arrest and abduction of doctors in Myanmar and the persecution of health workers and violations of medical neutrality in Iran, the sanctity of the Red Cross and Red Crescent appears to be at a new low. The uncomfortable truth is that attacks against health facilities and staff in conflicts can be committed largely with legal impunity.

The first year of the COVID-19 pandemic in humanitarian settings: epidemiology, health service utilization, and health care seeking behavior in Bangui and surrounding areas, Central African Republic

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Conflict and Health
Publication Type
Article

Background

Despite increasing evidence on COVID-19, few studies have been conducted in humanitarian settings and none have investigated the direct and indirect effects of the pandemic in the Central African Republic. We studied the COVID-19 epidemiology, health service utilization, and health care seeking behavior in the first year of the pandemic in Bangui and surrounding areas.

Methods

This mixed-methods study encompasses four components: descriptive epidemiological analysis of reported COVID-19 cases data; interrupted time series analysis of health service utilization using routine health service data; qualitative analysis of health care workers’ perceptions of how health services were affected; and health care seeking behavior of community members with a household survey and focus group discussions.

Quality of maternal and newborn health care at private hospitals in Iraq : a cross-sectional study

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BMC Pregnancy and Childbirth
Publication Type
Article

Background

Approximately 25% of facility births take place in private health facilities. Recent national studies of maternal and newborn health (MNH) service availability and quality have focused solely on the status of public sector facilities, leaving a striking gap in information on the quality of maternal and newborn care services.

Methods

A rapid cross-sectional assessment was conducted in November 2022 to assess the quality of MNH services at private hospitals in Iraq. Multi-stage sampling was used to select 15% of the country’s 164 private hospitals. Assessment tools included a facility assessment checklist, a structured health worker interview tool, and a structured client exit interview tool. Data collection was conducted using KoboToolbox software on Android tablets, and analysis was conducted using SPSS v28.

Results

All hospitals visited provided MNH services and had skilled personnel present or on-call 24 h/day, 7 days/week. Most births (88%) documented between January and June 2022 were cesarean births. Findings indicate that nearly all hospitals have the human resources, equipment, medicines, and supplies necessary for quality antenatal, intrapartum, and early essential newborn care, and many are also equipped with special units and resources needed to care for small and sick babies. However, while resources are in place for basic and advanced care, there are gaps in knowledge and practice of high-impact interventions that require few or no resources to perform, including skin-to-skin thermal care and support for early initiation of breastfeeding. Person-centered maternity care scores suggest that private hospitals offer a positive experience of care for all clients, ho

Authors

Improving and maintaining quality of hemodialysis in areas affected by war: a call to action!

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Kidney International
Publication Type
Article

Until recently, little attention from humanitarian agencies has been given to management of noncommunicable diseases in emergencies. Chronic kidney disease (CKD) is a common non-communicable disease, and despite its increasing prevalence, management of CKD, including kidney failure (KF) and kidney transplantation, receives little support in health emergencies. Management of patients with end-stage kidney failure on maintenance dialysis requires a complex infrastructure consisting of a built environment, electricity, water delivery, dialysis equipment, secure dialysis supplies chain, skilled medical staff, and leadership, which may not be available in many situations. Where these requirements do exist, they are easily disrupted in humanitarian emergencies. Protracted conflicts, such as those in the Democratic Republic of the Congo, Iraq, Libya, Syria, Somalia, Yemen, and Ukraine, have produced a new urgency for the planning and management of persons with KF and other non-communicable diseases.

Authors

Implementation considerations in case-area targeted interventions to prevent cholera transmission in Northeast Nigeria: A qualitative analysis

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PLOS Neglected Tropical Diseases
Publication Type
Article

Cholera outbreaks primarily occur in areas lacking adequate water, sanitation, and hygiene (WASH), and infection can cause severe dehydration and death. As individuals living near cholera cases are more likely to contract cholera, case-area targeted interventions (CATI), where a response team visits case and neighbor households and conducts WASH and/or epidemiological interventions, are increasingly implemented to interrupt cholera transmission. As part of a multi-pronged evaluation on whether CATIs reduce cholera transmission, we compared two organizations' standard operating procedures (SOPs) with information from key informant interviews with 26 staff at national/headquarters and field levels who implemented CATIs in Nigeria in 2021. While organizations generally adhered to SOPs during implementation, deviations related to accessing case household and neighbor household selection were made due to incomplete line lists, high population density, and insufficient staffing and materials. We recommend reducing the CATI radius, providing more explicit context-specific guidance in SOPs, adopting more measures to ensure sufficient staffing and supplies, improving surveillance and data management, and strengthening risk communication and community engagement. The qualitative results herein will inform future quantitative analysis to provide recommendations for overall CATI implementation in future cholera responses in fragile contexts.

Cross-sectional survey in Central African Republic finds mortality 4-times 4-times higher than UN statistics: how can we not know the Central African Republic is in such an acute humanitarian crisis?

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Conflict and Health
Publication Type
Article

Background

CAR is one of the poorest countries in the world. While UN statistics suggest that there is no health emergency in the country, two recently published mortality surveys contradict this. Moreover, recent accusations of massive scale human rights abuses by mercenaries suggested the need for a nationwide mortality survey.

Methods

Two stage cluster surveys were conducted in two different strata: one in the roughly half of the country within the Government’s control, and one in the areas mostly outside of the Government’s control. We randomly selected 40 clusters of 10 households in each stratum. The survey included questions on vital events with open-ended questions about health and household challenges at the beginning and end of each interview.

Results

70 of 80 selected clusters were successfully visited. We interviewed 699 households, containing 5070 people. 11 households (1.6%) refused to be interviewed and approximately 18.3% of households were absent at the time of visitation, mainly in the safer Government controlled areas. Interviewed households had a birth rate of 42.6 /1000 / year (95%CI 35.4–59.7) and a crude mortality rate (CMR) of 1.57 /10,000/day (95%CI: 1.36–1.78). The birth rate was lower and the death rate markedly higher in the strata outside of Government control. Families described malaria or fever, and diarrhea as the primary reported causes of death with violence accounting for 6% of all deaths

The war in Ukraine 1 year on: the need to strategise for the long-term health of Ukrainians

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The Lancet
Publication Type
Commentary

1 year has passed since the unprovoked war by Russia on Ukraine began on Feb 24, 2022. The horrendous suffering and deaths among Ukrainian civilians and the massive loss of life in the military on both sides are tragic. The UN estimates there have been 7155 conflict-related civilian deaths with 11 662 people injured, which are probably gross underestimates. There are about 5·4 million internally displaced persons (IDPs) in Ukraine, and more than 8 million refugees, most of whom have temporary protection status and reside throughout Europe. 

Authors

The crisis of maternal and child health in Afghanistan

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The Lancet
Publication Type
Commentary

In the past two decades, despite ongoing war, international development assistance and funding, channelled through Afghanistan's Ministry of Public Health, expanded access to primary care, improved government hospitals, and trained thousands of health-care providers in Afghanistan, especially women. Accompanying technical assistance strengthened the capacity of Afghanistan's Ministry of Public Health to develop policy, design requirements for and oversee services provided by international and national non-governmental organisations (NGOs), and initiate surveillance, monitoring, and evaluation systems. Although progress was uneven, expanded access to higher quality care saved many lives. 

In some areas, primary health care became well enough established that in the years before the 2021 fall of Afghanistan's previous government the Taliban appointed liaisons to provincial health programmes in areas they controlled. Despite the clinics' affiliation with the former government, the Taliban engaged with managers on such issues as who was hired, which geographical areas were covered, and what health services were offered; although the Taliban used threats and coercion to influence decisions, their violent attacks on clinics and hospitals decreased. 
Afghanistan's health system remained fragile, however, and was largely reliant on donor funding and NGO implementation.

The United States Detention System for Migrants: Patterns of Negligence and Inconsistency

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Journal of Migration and Health
Publication Type
Article

The United States of America (US) detains more migrants than any other nation. Customs and Border Patrol (CBP) and Immigration and Customs Enforcement (ICE) detain adults and families under the Department of Homeland Security, while unaccompanied minors are housed under the Office of Refugee Resettlement (ORR) within the Department of Health and Human Services. Migrants are subject to the standards and oversight of each individual agency and facility where they are detained. This paper presents an analysis of whether the current US migrant detention system upholds the standards of each agency to maintain the health of migrants. A review of peer and grey literature, along with interviews with key informants (KI) who had worked in or visited ICE, CBP, or ORR facilities since January 2018 were undertaken. Analysis of the literature review and KI interviews covered five thematic areas: health, protection of vulnerable populations, shelter, food and nutrition, and hygiene. Thirty-nine peer-reviewed publications and 28 US Office of Inspector General reports from 2010 to 2020 were reviewed. Seventeen KI interviews were conducted. Though all three detention agencies had significant areas of concern, CBP's inability to abide by its health standards was particularly alarming. The persistence of low compliance with standards stemmed from weak accountability mechanisms, minimal transparency, and inadequate capacity to provide essential services. We have five recommendations: (1) expand independent monitoring and evaluation mechanisms; (2) standardize health standards across the three agencies; (3) develop a systematic evaluation tool to help external visitors, including members of Congress, assess the degree of implementation of standards; (4) enforce consequences for private contractors who violate standards; and (5) restrict the use of waivers that allow detention facilities to circumvent compliance with standards. Ultimately, the US federal government should explore and implement alternatives to detention to maintain the health and dignity of the individuals under its care.

Authors

COVID-19 epidemiology and changes in health service utilization in Uganda’s refugee settlements during the first year of the pandemic

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BMC Public Health
Publication Type
Article

Background

The COVID-19 pandemic has been characterized by multiple waves with varying rates of transmission affecting countries at different times and magnitudes. Forced displacement settings were considered particularly at risk due to pre-existing vulnerabilities. Yet, the effects of COVID-19 in refugee settings are not well understood. In this study, we report on the epidemiology of COVID-19 cases in Uganda’s refugee settlement regions of West Nile, Center and South, and evaluate how health service utilization changed during the first year of the pandemic.

Methods

We calculate descriptive statistics, testing rates, and incidence rates of COVID-19 cases in UNHCR’s line list and adjusted odds ratios for selected outcomes. We evaluate the changes in health services using monthly routine data from UNHCR’s health information system (January 2017 to March 2021) and apply interrupted time series analysis with a generalized additive model and negative binomial distribution, accounting for long-term trends and seasonality, reporting results as incidence rate ratios.

Findings

The first COVID-19 case was registered in Uganda on March 20, 2020, and among refugees two months later on May 22, 2020 in Adjumani settlement. Incidence rates were higher at national level for the general population compared to refugees by region and overall. Testing capacity in the settlements was lower compared to the national level. Characteristics of COVID-19 cases among refugees in Uganda seem to align with the global epidemiology of COVID-19. Only hospitalization rate was higher than globally reported. The indirect effects of COVID-19 on routine health services and outcomes appear quite consistent across regions. Maternal and child routine and preventative health services seem to have been less affected by COVID-19 than consultations for acute conditions. All regions reported a decrease in consultations for respiratory tract infections.

Measuring results of humanitarian action: adapting public health indicators to different contexts

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Conflict and Health
Publication Type
Editorial

Humanitarian crises represent a significant public health risk factor for affected populations exacerbating mortality, morbidity, disabilities, and reducing access to and quality of health care. Reliable and timely information on the health status of and services provided to crisis-affected populations is crucial to establish public health priorities, mobilize funds, and monitor the performance of humanitarian action. Numerous efforts have contributed to standardizing and presenting timely public health information in humanitarian settings over the last two decades. While the prominence of process and output (rather than outcome and impact) indicators in monitoring frameworks leads to adequate information on resources and activities, health outcomes are rarely measured due to the challenges of measuring them using gold-standard methods that are difficult to implement in humanitarian settings.

We argue that challenges in collecting the gold-standard performance measures should not be a rationale for neglecting outcome measures for critical health and nutrition programs in humanitarian emergencies. Alternative indicators or measurement methods that are robust, practical, and feasible in varying contexts should be used in the interim while acknowledging limitations or interpretation constraints. In this paper, we draw from existing literature, expert judgment, and operational experience to propose an approach to adapt public health indicators for measuring performance of the humanitarian response across varied contexts.

Are the health systems of EU countries hosting Ukrainian refugees ready to adapt?

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The Lancet Health Longevity
Publication Type
Commentary

The war in Ukraine and its direct and indirect consequences have reverberated throughout the world. The media report on the horrific consequences that are occurring daily, mostly through personal stories that attempt to encapsulate the horrors of this unprovoked war by Russia. Until this issue in The Lancet Healthy Longevity, to my knowledge there have been no peer-reviewed articles with large-scale quantitative data that analyse the health situation for Ukrainian refugees and their potential effects on health systems. When I was the Emergency Coordinator for the Ukraine refugee response for WHO in March and April of this year, I noted that this absence of available health data from EU hosting countries made planning and response extremely difficult for the multitude of actors involved in the Ukrainian refugee crisis. Until now, the data collected and shared on Ukrainian refugees by the EU-refugee hosting governments remain inadequate for an effective response and for future planning.

Authors